Stock Analysis

How Neoenergia’s Alto Paranaíba Milestone May Influence Iberdrola’s (BME:IBE) Long-Term Growth Story

  • Neoenergia, a subsidiary of Iberdrola, recently announced it is close to completing the Alto Paranaíba project, one of Brazil's largest electricity transmission undertakings, with 99% of towers constructed and all foundational work finished across Minas Gerais and São Paulo.
  • This progress highlights Iberdrola's continued investment in essential energy infrastructure in Brazil, underscoring the company's global reach in transmission projects beyond its core European and US markets.
  • We'll explore how Neoenergia's advancement on this major Brazilian grid project could influence Iberdrola's long-term growth narrative and outlook.

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Iberdrola Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in Iberdrola, you need to believe in its ability to expand and operate efficiently in global regulated electric networks while navigating evolving policy environments. The near-completion of the Alto Paranaíba project in Brazil signals ongoing execution in growth markets, but does not materially alter near-term risks, particularly surrounding the company’s reliance on favorable regulatory conditions and large-scale external financing.

Among recent announcements, Iberdrola’s €5 billion equity offering is most relevant, as it directly supports the group’s accelerating infrastructure developments including global transmission projects like Alto Paranaíba. This capital raise stands as a key catalyst to fund new investments, but also heightens sensitivity to shifts in credit markets and the cost of capital, both of which are crucial factors for sustaining future growth targets.

Yet in contrast to robust infrastructure progress, investors should be aware that exposure to regulatory changes across Iberdrola’s key markets could…

Read the full narrative on Iberdrola (it's free!)

Iberdrola's narrative projects €50.1 billion revenue and €7.0 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 3.7% yearly revenue growth and a €2.2 billion earnings increase from €4.8 billion today.

Uncover how Iberdrola's forecasts yield a €16.32 fair value, a 4% downside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

BME:IBE Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
BME:IBE Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Twelve fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community range widely from €0.51 to €16.42 per share. Many are focusing on Iberdrola’s exposure to regulatory risk and its potential impact on longer-term earnings and capital costs, highlighting how views on the company’s prospects can sharply differ.

Explore 12 other fair value estimates on Iberdrola - why the stock might be worth as much as €16.42!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About BME:IBE

Iberdrola

Engages in the generation, production, transmission, distribution, and supply of electricity in Spain, the United Kingdom, the United States, Mexico, Brazil, Germany, France, and Australia.

Average dividend payer with moderate growth potential.

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