Stock Analysis

Here's Why Realia Business (BME:RLIA) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

BME:RLIA
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Realia Business, S.A. (BME:RLIA) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Realia Business

What Is Realia Business's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Realia Business had €573.0m of debt in September 2020, down from €601.7m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of €66.3m, its net debt is less, at about €506.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BME:RLIA Debt to Equity History December 23rd 2020

A Look At Realia Business's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Realia Business had liabilities of €41.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €779.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €66.3m in cash and €16.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €738.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's €520.7m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Realia Business's net debt to EBITDA ratio is 16.7 which suggests rather high debt levels, but its interest cover of 8.1 times suggests the debt is easily serviced. Our best guess is that the company does indeed have significant debt obligations. Shareholders should be aware that Realia Business's EBIT was down 56% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Realia Business's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Realia Business produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 70% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

On the face of it, Realia Business's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider Realia Business to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Realia Business you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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