Stock Analysis

We Think Almirall (BME:ALM) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

BME:ALM
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Almirall, S.A. (BME:ALM) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Almirall

What Is Almirall's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Almirall had €366.3m in debt in June 2023; about the same as the year before. But on the other hand it also has €447.3m in cash, leading to a €81.0m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BME:ALM Debt to Equity History August 24th 2023

How Strong Is Almirall's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Almirall had liabilities of €271.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €546.7m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of €447.3m and €157.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €213.4m.

Of course, Almirall has a market capitalization of €1.99b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Almirall also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

Importantly, Almirall's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 29% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Almirall's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Almirall has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Almirall actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Summing Up

Although Almirall's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of €81.0m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of €23m, being 105% of its EBIT. So we don't have any problem with Almirall's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Almirall you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.