Stock Analysis

It Might Not Be A Great Idea To Buy Iberpapel Gestión, S.A. (BME:IBG) For Its Next Dividend

BME:IBG
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Iberpapel Gestión, S.A. (BME:IBG) stock is about to trade ex-dividend in 3 days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before a company's record date, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade takes at least two business day to settle. This means that investors who purchase Iberpapel Gestión's shares on or after the 6th of June will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 8th of June.

The company's next dividend payment will be €0.12 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed €0.30 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Iberpapel Gestión stock has a trailing yield of around 1.8% on the current share price of €16.25. We love seeing companies pay a dividend, but it's also important to be sure that laying the golden eggs isn't going to kill our golden goose! We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

View our latest analysis for Iberpapel Gestión

Dividends are usually paid out of company profits, so if a company pays out more than it earned then its dividend is usually at greater risk of being cut. That's why it's good to see Iberpapel Gestión paying out a modest 27% of its earnings. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether Iberpapel Gestión generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

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BME:IBG Historic Dividend June 2nd 2023
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Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. Readers will understand then, why we're concerned to see Iberpapel Gestión's earnings per share have dropped 7.5% a year over the past five years. Ultimately, when earnings per share decline, the size of the pie from which dividends can be paid, shrinks.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Iberpapel Gestión's dividend payments are effectively flat on where they were 10 years ago. If a company's dividend stays flat while earnings are in decline, this is typically a sign that it is paying out a larger percentage of its earnings. This can become unsustainable if earnings fall far enough.

To Sum It Up

Has Iberpapel Gestión got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? Iberpapel Gestión's earnings per share have fallen noticeably and, although it paid out less than half its profit as dividends last year, it paid out a disconcertingly high percentage of its cashflow, which is not a great combination. It's not an attractive combination from a dividend perspective, and we're inclined to pass on this one for the time being.

Ever wonder what the future holds for Iberpapel Gestión? See what the two analysts we track are forecasting, with this visualisation of its historical and future estimated earnings and cash flow

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.