Here's Why Ercros (BME:ECR) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Ercros, S.A. (BME:ECR) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Advertisement

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Ercros

What Is Ercros's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 Ercros had €130.5m of debt, an increase on €109.2m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of €32.6m, its net debt is less, at about €97.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BME:ECR Debt to Equity History November 10th 2023

A Look At Ercros' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Ercros had liabilities of €183.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €170.4m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €32.6m as well as receivables valued at €113.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €207.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of €244.1m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Ercros' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Ercros has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.4. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 11.5 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. It is just as well that Ercros's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 50% over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Ercros's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Ercros recorded free cash flow worth 58% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Ercros's struggle to grow its EBIT had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. In particular, its interest cover was re-invigorating. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Ercros's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Ercros you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Ercros might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

M
mitchell_lawler
mitchell_lawler

Oracle has $638 billion of orders it can't fill yet. Tonight tells us how much it's costing to get ready.

Oracle has $638 billion of orders it can't fill yet. Tonight tells us how much it's costing to get ready. cover
97
s
sean_3pk06

Sixty-eight percent gross margin business is buying its way into a thirty-five percent gross margin business, and revenue growth is the metric everyone is watching.

d
devon_jd150

This is important about Oracle. Nvidia went to six of the biggest asset managers on earth to make sure someone else held this risk. Oracle just borrowed the money and held it itself.

Mitchell Lawler

What 13F filings won't tell you about a billionaire's stock picks

What 13F filings won't tell you about a billionaire's stock picks cover
Fresh 13F filings are where some investors go to find their next stock pick. The problem is it's missing some of the most important details for making a good investment.
84

About BME:ECR

Ercros

Manufactures and sells chemical and pharmaceutical products in Spain and internationally.

Fair value with imperfect balance sheet.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

CE
Ceazar
SPAI logo
Ceazar on Sparc AI ·

When GPS fails: this small cap is fixing a $54B drone problem

Fair Value:CA$5.2536.2% undervalued
186 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
29 users have liked this narrative
WE
WealthAP
Recommended Voice
CPRT logo
WealthAP on Copart ·

Copart’s Share Price Fell. Its Moat Did Not.

Fair Value:US$4934.6% undervalued
38 users have followed this narrative
2 users have commented on this narrative
10 users have liked this narrative
IV
Emerging Author
ASML logo
Ivoed on ASML Holding ·

ASML’s China Sell-Off Looks Overdone, Yet The Shares Are Not Cheap

Fair Value:€1.78k17.2% undervalued
27 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
8 users have liked this narrative
FU
FundamentalContrarianInvestor
UMG logo
FundamentalContrarianInvestor on Universal Music Group ·

Universal Music Group: The Market Is Pricing the Quarter, Not the Catalogue

Fair Value:€23.2539.7% undervalued
10 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
3 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

PR
prajeeshprathap
CLH logo
prajeeshprathap on Clean Harbors ·

The Environmental Infrastructure Compounder Built for Decades of Growth

Fair Value:US$3509.8% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
LU
LunaRodas
VNCE logo
LunaRodas on Vince Holding ·

VNCE | Vince Holding Corp.: What They Said vs. What They Did

Fair Value:US$4.8431.8% overvalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
FR
FRAGMENTS
CRMT logo
FRAGMENTS on America's Car-Mart ·

America’s Car-Mart Trades Around $1.50. Book Value Is $45.20. Who Owns the Recovery?

Fair Value:US$2.7546.4% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$302.8326.1% undervalued
1407 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
35 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
AMZN logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on Amazon.com ·

AMZN: Acceleration In Cloud And AI Will Drive Margin Expansion Ahead

Fair Value:US$32722.8% undervalued
1623 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
16 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
GOOGL logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on Alphabet ·

GOOGL: AI Platform Expansion And Cloud Demand Will Support Durable Performance Amid Competitive Pressures

Fair Value:US$427.8922.7% undervalued
1595 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
19 users have liked this narrative