eDreams ODIGEO Valuation

Is EDR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EDR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EDR (€6.51) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€15.02)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EDR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EDR?

Key metric: As EDR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EDR. This is calculated by dividing EDR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EDR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	22.8x
Earnings	€35.29m
Market Cap	€818.61m

EDR key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	25.6x
PEG Ratio	0.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EDR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EDR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	23.7x
MEL Meliá Hotels International	10.8x	6.8%	€1.5b
NHH Minor Hotels Europe & Americas	10.6x	0.3%	€1.9b
SCBYT ByteTravel	50.8x	n/a	€163.4m
AMS Amadeus IT Group	22.7x	10.7%	€28.7b
EDR eDreams ODIGEO	22.8x	30.9%	€806.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EDR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.8x) compared to the peer average (23.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EDR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

10 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

10 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EDR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.8x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (17.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EDR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EDR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	22.8x
Fair PE Ratio	20x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EDR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EDR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	€6.51	€9.58 +47.2%	13.4%	€11.50	€8.30	n/a	8
Nov ’25	€6.45	€9.58 +48.6%	13.4%	€11.50	€8.30	n/a	8
Oct ’25	€6.55	€9.62 +46.9%	13.1%	€11.50	€8.30	n/a	8
Sep ’25	€6.73	€9.62 +42.9%	13.1%	€11.50	€8.30	n/a	8
Aug ’25	€6.62	€9.62 +45.3%	13.1%	€11.50	€8.30	n/a	8
Jul ’25	€6.48	€9.49 +46.5%	14.3%	€11.50	€8.00	n/a	8
Jun ’25	€7.09	€9.46 +33.5%	14.6%	€11.50	€8.00	n/a	8
May ’25	€6.38	€9.11 +42.8%	9.3%	€10.50	€8.00	n/a	7
Apr ’25	€6.75	€9.11 +34.9%	9.3%	€10.50	€8.00	n/a	7
Mar ’25	€6.89	€9.11 +32.2%	9.3%	€10.50	€8.00	n/a	7
Feb ’25	€7.00	€9.12 +30.3%	9.0%	€10.35	€8.00	n/a	7
Jan ’25	€7.67	€8.84 +15.2%	11.8%	€10.35	€7.25	n/a	7
Dec ’24	€6.68	€8.84 +32.3%	11.8%	€10.35	€7.25	n/a	7
Nov ’24	€5.92	€8.84 +49.3%	11.8%	€10.35	€7.25	€6.45	7
Oct ’24	€6.45	€8.84 +37.0%	11.8%	€10.35	€7.25	€6.55	7
Sep ’24	€6.82	€8.84 +29.6%	11.8%	€10.35	€7.25	€6.73	7
Aug ’24	€6.40	€8.79 +37.3%	11.1%	€10.00	€7.25	€6.62	7
Jul ’24	€6.55	€8.79 +34.1%	11.1%	€10.00	€7.25	€6.48	7
Jun ’24	€5.24	€8.43 +60.8%	16.1%	€10.00	€6.25	€7.09	7
May ’24	€5.15	€7.84 +52.3%	25.3%	€10.00	€3.80	€6.38	8
Apr ’24	€5.66	€7.84 +38.5%	25.4%	€10.00	€3.80	€6.75	8
Mar ’24	€6.08	€7.84 +28.9%	25.4%	€10.00	€3.80	€6.89	8
Feb ’24	€5.35	€7.26 +35.6%	26.3%	€9.65	€3.80	€7.00	7
Jan ’24	€3.95	€7.26 +83.7%	26.3%	€9.65	€3.80	€7.67	7
Dec ’23	€4.06	€7.26 +78.7%	26.3%	€9.65	€3.80	€6.68	7
Nov ’23	€4.34	€7.42 +71.2%	28.8%	€10.65	€3.80	€5.92	7

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.