Amadeus IT Group Valuation

Is AMS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AMS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AMS (€65.94) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€40.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AMS is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AMS?

Key metric: As AMS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AMS. This is calculated by dividing AMS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AMS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.7x
Earnings€1.27b
Market Cap€28.77b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AMS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AMS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.8x
MEL Meliá Hotels International
10.8x6.8%€1.5b
NHH Minor Hotels Europe & Americas
10.6x0.3%€1.9b
EDR eDreams ODIGEO
22.8x30.9%€818.6m
SCBYT ByteTravel
50.8xn/a€163.4m
AMS Amadeus IT Group
22.7x10.7%€28.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AMS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.7x) compared to the peer average (23.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AMS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AMS 22.7xIndustry Avg. 17.1xNo. of Companies18PE01224364860+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AMS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.7x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (17.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AMS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AMS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.7x
Fair PE Ratio23.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AMS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AMS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€65.94
€73.75
+11.9%
7.8%€85.00€65.00n/a22
Nov ’25€67.28
€72.25
+7.4%
7.8%€84.00€62.00n/a22
Oct ’25€64.92
€71.84
+10.7%
8.5%€85.00€60.00n/a23
Sep ’25€60.94
€71.97
+18.1%
8.5%€85.00€60.00n/a23
Aug ’25€58.56
€72.21
+23.3%
8.5%€85.00€60.00n/a23
Jul ’25€62.52
€72.11
+15.3%
9.0%€87.00€60.00n/a23
Jun ’25€65.34
€71.40
+9.3%
8.3%€82.00€60.00n/a23
May ’25€59.76
€71.06
+18.9%
8.4%€80.00€58.00n/a23
Apr ’25€59.44
€70.64
+18.8%
8.9%€80.00€58.00n/a24
Mar ’25€57.00
€70.81
+24.2%
9.0%€80.00€58.00n/a24
Feb ’25€64.50
€71.66
+11.1%
8.9%€80.00€58.00n/a24
Jan ’25€64.88
€71.01
+9.5%
9.5%€80.00€55.00n/a24
Dec ’24€63.98
€71.06
+11.1%
9.5%€80.00€55.00n/a24
Nov ’24€53.90
€70.71
+31.2%
9.6%€80.00€55.00€67.2824
Oct ’24€57.28
€71.02
+24.0%
9.5%€80.00€55.00€64.9224
Sep ’24€63.16
€71.04
+12.5%
9.5%€79.00€55.00€60.9424
Aug ’24€64.76
€70.91
+9.5%
9.7%€79.00€55.00€58.5624
Jul ’24€69.70
€69.30
-0.6%
11.7%€80.00€55.00€62.5223
Jun ’24€68.26
€68.10
-0.2%
10.7%€78.00€55.00€65.3422
May ’24€63.74
€64.60
+1.4%
13.3%€77.00€39.20€59.7623
Apr ’24€61.66
€63.00
+2.2%
13.0%€74.00€39.20€59.4422
Mar ’24€60.56
€62.13
+2.6%
12.4%€73.00€39.20€57.0023
Feb ’24€57.72
€60.86
+5.4%
12.2%€73.00€39.20€64.5024
Jan ’24€48.55
€60.83
+25.3%
12.2%€73.00€39.20€64.8824
Dec ’23€52.06
€60.29
+15.8%
11.5%€73.00€39.20€63.9824
Nov ’23€52.40
€60.45
+15.4%
11.0%€73.00€39.20€53.9024

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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