Meliá Hotels International, S.A.

BME:MEL Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.1b

Meliá Hotels International Valuation

Is MEL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of MEL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: MEL (€9.45) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value (€7.94)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: MEL is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MEL?

Key metric: As MEL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MEL. This is calculated by dividing MEL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MEL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.2x
Earnings€170.07m
Market Cap€2.08b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MEL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MEL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.9x
EDR eDreams ODIGEO
3.9x-28.60%€316.6m
AMS Amadeus IT Group
15.7x8.58%€20.9b
CIRSA Cirsa Enterprises
30.9x22.79%€2.3b
ISRO Isrotel
33.3xn/a₪8.5b
MEL Meliá Hotels International
12.2x4.37%€2.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MEL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x) compared to the peer average (20.9x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MEL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MEL 12.2xIndustry Avg. 16.8xNo. of Companies20PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MEL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (16.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MEL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MEL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.2x
Fair PE Ratio14.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MEL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MEL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€9.45
€9.24
-2.25%
11.32%€11.00€6.65n/a12
Mar ’27€8.34
€9.00
+7.96%
13.37%€11.00€6.65n/a12
Feb ’27€7.53
€8.93
+18.65%
12.78%€11.00€6.65n/a13
Jan ’27€7.92
€9.33
+17.74%
11.00%€11.00€6.70n/a12
Dec ’26€7.35
€9.31
+26.69%
11.38%€11.00€6.54n/a12
Nov ’26€7.18
€9.31
+29.69%
11.38%€11.00€6.54n/a12
Oct ’26€7.31
€9.12
+24.75%
12.05%€11.00€6.54n/a13
Sep ’26€7.99
€9.08
+13.65%
12.04%€11.00€6.54n/a13
Aug ’26€7.49
€9.02
+20.44%
13.78%€11.00€5.76n/a13
Jul ’26€7.18
€8.94
+24.65%
13.30%€10.70€5.76n/a13
Jun ’26€6.76
€8.94
+32.29%
12.80%€10.70€5.76n/a13
May ’26€6.37
€8.98
+40.94%
12.27%€10.70€6.00n/a13
Apr ’26€6.49
€9.10
+40.29%
9.78%€10.70€7.15n/a13
Mar ’26€7.35
€9.02
+22.86%
10.57%€10.80€6.80€8.3413
Feb ’26€7.21
€8.93
+23.96%
10.57%€10.80€6.80€7.5313
Jan ’26€7.37
€8.99
+22.01%
8.82%€10.80€7.40€7.9213
Dec ’25€6.77
€8.74
+29.19%
8.84%€9.90€7.40€7.3513
Nov ’25€6.91
€8.60
+24.51%
9.49%€9.90€7.00€7.1813
Oct ’25€6.42
€8.56
+33.38%
9.52%€9.90€7.00€7.3113
Sep ’25€6.53
€8.64
+32.31%
8.15%€9.90€7.40€7.9913
Aug ’25€6.43
€8.70
+35.36%
8.41%€9.90€7.40€7.4913
Jul ’25€7.71
€8.55
+10.89%
9.66%€9.90€7.15€7.1813
Jun ’25€7.93
€8.28
+4.47%
11.81%€9.90€6.50€6.7612
May ’25€7.31
€7.61
+4.21%
9.50%€8.80€6.50€6.3712
Apr ’25€7.49
€7.45
-0.48%
8.48%€8.80€6.50€6.4912
Mar ’25€6.68
€7.22
+8.10%
11.59%€8.80€6.00€7.3512
€9.24
Fair Value
2.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
12
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/03/30 14:06
End of Day Share Price 2026/03/27 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Meliá Hotels International, S.A. is covered by 24 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Guilherme SampaioBanco BPI, S.A.
Rafael Bonardell TrianesBanco de Sabadell. S.A.
null nullBanco de Sabadell. S.A.