Meliá Hotels International Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Meliá Hotels International is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 6.3% and 2.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 5.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 19.9% in 3 years.

Key information

6.3%

Earnings growth rate

5.4%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality earnings growth	22.3%
Revenue growth rate	2.9%
Future return on equity	19.9%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	10 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Is There An Opportunity With Meliá Hotels International, S.A.'s (BME:MEL) 49% Undervaluation?

Jan 24

Meliá Hotels International's (BME:MEL) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

Aug 11

Is There Now An Opportunity In Meliá Hotels International, S.A. (BME:MEL)?

Jun 15

Calculating The Fair Value Of Meliá Hotels International, S.A. (BME:MEL)

May 25

Health Check: How Prudently Does Meliá Hotels International (BME:MEL) Use Debt?

Mar 21

Is Meliá Hotels International (BME:MEL) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Oct 16

Meliá Hotels International (BME:MEL) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Jun 10

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Meliá Hotels International, S.A. (BME:MEL)

Mar 29

Is Meliá Hotels International (BME:MEL) Using Debt Sensibly?

Mar 01

What Type Of Shareholders Make Up Meliá Hotels International, S.A.'s (BME:MEL) Share Registry?

Jan 27

How Much Did Meliá Hotels International's(BME:MEL) Shareholders Earn From Share Price Movements Over The Last Five Years?

Dec 05

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

BME:MEL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	2,155	159	237	N/A	10
12/31/2025	2,090	143	234	N/A	10
12/31/2024	2,019	137	182	N/A	10
9/30/2024	1,995	140	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2024	1,976	119	315	427	N/A
3/31/2024	1,973	126	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2023	1,929	118	275	397	N/A
9/30/2023	1,885	154	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2023	1,848	150	390	498	N/A
3/31/2023	1,804	170	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2022	1,680	111	381	493	N/A
9/30/2022	1,505	26	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2022	1,339	-39	217	305	N/A
3/31/2022	1,022	-121	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2021	827	-193	48	127	N/A
9/30/2021	693	-293	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2021	439	-389	-210	-159	N/A
3/31/2021	312	-647	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2020	528	-596	-302	-250	N/A
9/30/2020	832	-458	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2020	1,239	-293	-1	76	N/A
3/31/2020	1,690	22	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2019	1,790	113	275	383	N/A
9/30/2019	1,805	110	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2019	1,810	136	329	534	N/A
3/31/2019	1,823	137	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2018	1,820	147	341	571	N/A
9/30/2018	1,863	140	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2018	1,839	125	N/A	379	N/A
3/31/2018	1,874	127	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2017	1,859	124	N/A	259	N/A
9/30/2017	1,872	122	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2017	1,845	113	N/A	257	N/A
3/31/2017	1,823	99	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2016	1,802	101	N/A	257	N/A
9/30/2016	1,767	10	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2016	1,734	61	N/A	238	N/A
3/31/2016	1,778	45	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2015	1,738	36	N/A	271	N/A
9/30/2015	1,633	74	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2015	1,651	44	N/A	244	N/A
3/31/2015	1,507	36	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2014	1,495	30	N/A	188	N/A
9/30/2014	1,449	-28	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2014	1,411	-43	N/A	181	N/A
3/31/2014	1,385	-33	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2013	1,369	-39	N/A	118	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MEL's forecast earnings growth (6.3% per year) is above the savings rate (1.8%).

Earnings vs Market: MEL's earnings (6.3% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Spanish market (8.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: MEL's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: MEL's revenue (2.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Spanish market (5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MEL's revenue (2.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MEL's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (19.9%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/22 10:01
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Meliá Hotels International, S.A. is covered by 46 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Javier Diaz Izquierdo	Ahorro Corporación
Bérénice Lacroix	AlphaValue
Pierre-Yves Gauthier	AlphaValue

Meliá Hotels International Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 13%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 17%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 13%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 21%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 13%

Recent updates

Now 20% undervalued

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Meliá Hotels International, S.A. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 11, 2024

New minor risk - Share price stability

Second quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues in line with analyst expectations

Insufficient new directors

Meliá Hotels International, S.A.(BME:MEL) dropped from Madrid Ibex 35 Index

Meliá Hotels International, S.A.(BME:MEL) dropped from Madrid Ibex 35 Index

Meliá Hotels International, S.A. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Jul 31, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 13%

First quarter 2024 earnings released

Meliá Hotels International, S.A., Annual General Meeting, May 09, 2024

Now 20% overvalued after recent price rise

New minor risk - Share price stability

Now 23% overvalued after recent price rise

Meliá Hotels International, S.A. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 29, 2024

Gaalata reached an agreement in principle to acquire a 50% stake in Meliá Puerto Vallarta from Meliá Hotels International, S.A. (BME:MEL) for $30 million.

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 17%

Second quarter 2023 earnings: Revenues in line with analyst expectations

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 13%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%

Meliá Hotels International, S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 22, 2023

First quarter 2023 earnings released

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 21%

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: €0.50 (vs €0.88 loss in FY 2021)

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 13%

Global Alpha Capital Management Ltd. acquired unknown minority stake in Meliá Hotels International, S.A. (BME:MEL).

Is There An Opportunity With Meliá Hotels International, S.A.'s (BME:MEL) 49% Undervaluation?

Consensus forecasts updated

We Think Meliá Hotels International (BME:MEL) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Price target decreased to €6.33

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 17%

Third quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Price target decreased to €7.19

Are Investors Undervaluing Meliá Hotels International, S.A. (BME:MEL) By 36%?

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Meliá Hotels International, S.A. (BME:MEL)?

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

Meliá Hotels International's (BME:MEL) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

Second quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analyst expectations

Now 23% undervalued after recent price drop

Meliá Hotels International, S.A. to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Jul 26, 2022

Is There Now An Opportunity In Meliá Hotels International, S.A. (BME:MEL)?

Calculating The Fair Value Of Meliá Hotels International, S.A. (BME:MEL)

Meliá Hotels International, S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 16, 2022

First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Health Check: How Prudently Does Meliá Hotels International (BME:MEL) Use Debt?

Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Consensus forecasts updated

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: €0.069 loss per share

Is Meliá Hotels International (BME:MEL) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Second quarter 2021 earnings released

Meliá Hotels International, S.A. (BME:MEL) acquired Barcelona Apolo hotel from Värde Partners, Inc. for more than €90 million.

Meliá Hotels International (BME:MEL) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

First quarter 2021 earnings released: €0.59 loss per share

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Meliá Hotels International, S.A. (BME:MEL)

Price target increased to €6.40

Price target raised to €5.73

Is Meliá Hotels International (BME:MEL) Using Debt Sensibly?

Full year 2020 earnings released

Earnings beat expectations, revenue disappoints

Price target raised to €5.50

Analysts update estimates

New 90-day high: €5.99

What Type Of Shareholders Make Up Meliá Hotels International, S.A.'s (BME:MEL) Share Registry?

Meliá Hotels International, S.A. to Report Q4, 2020 Results on Feb 25, 2021

Price target raised to €4.88

Price target raised to €4.79