Stock Analysis

Does Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad (BME:PSG) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

BME:PSG
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad, S.A. (BME:PSG) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad

How Much Debt Does Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2022, Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad had €2.38b of debt, up from €1.67b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have €1.10b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €1.27b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BME:PSG Debt to Equity History October 7th 2022

A Look At Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad had liabilities of €1.96b due within 12 months, and liabilities of €1.84b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of €1.10b and €916.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €1.78b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the €870.1m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.4, which signals significant debt, but is still pretty reasonable for most types of business. But its EBIT was about 18.6 times its interest expense, implying the company isn't really paying a high cost to maintain that level of debt. Even were the low cost to prove unsustainable, that is a good sign. Notably, Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of €234m in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. In the last year, Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad's free cash flow amounted to 43% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad's level of total liabilities was disappointing. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.