Unicaja Banco Valuation

Is UNI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UNI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UNI (€1.23) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€2.26)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UNI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UNI?

Key metric: As UNI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for UNI. This is calculated by dividing UNI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is UNI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.3x
Earnings€425.85m
Market Cap€3.13b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UNI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UNI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.1x
BKT Bankinter
8x0.2%€6.9b
SAB Banco de Sabadell
6.7x-2.8%€10.0b
CABK CaixaBank
7.9x-1.3%€40.5b
BBVA Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria
5.8x-3.7%€54.0b
UNI Unicaja Banco
7.3x-3.8%€3.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UNI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the peer average (7.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UNI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
UNI 7.3xIndustry Avg. 7.4xNo. of Companies44PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UNI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UNI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UNI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.3x
Fair PE Ratio6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: UNI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UNI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.23
€1.42
+15.3%
17.4%€2.20€1.13n/a16
Nov ’25€1.18
€1.42
+20.1%
17.3%€2.20€1.13n/a16
Oct ’25€1.07
€1.47
+36.9%
15.8%€2.20€1.20n/a15
Sep ’25€1.23
€1.46
+19.4%
15.4%€2.20€1.20n/a16
Aug ’25€1.21
€1.47
+21.7%
14.8%€2.20€1.20n/a16
Jul ’25€1.31
€1.43
+9.4%
14.8%€2.10€1.20n/a16
Jun ’25€1.35
€1.42
+5.1%
14.7%€2.10€1.20n/a16
May ’25€1.23
€1.37
+11.4%
16.5%€2.10€1.10n/a16
Apr ’25€1.15
€1.30
+13.7%
19.0%€2.00€1.00n/a15
Mar ’25€0.96
€1.34
+39.7%
22.1%€2.00€1.00n/a15
Feb ’25€0.88
€1.33
+51.2%
21.1%€1.80€0.96n/a15
Jan ’25€0.89
€1.40
+57.5%
18.9%€2.00€1.02n/a15
Dec ’24€1.02
€1.42
+38.8%
17.4%€2.00€1.08n/a15
Nov ’24€0.98
€1.43
+45.1%
17.1%€2.00€1.08€1.1815
Oct ’24€1.02
€1.40
+37.7%
15.9%€1.90€1.06€1.0714
Sep ’24€1.01
€1.40
+38.3%
15.9%€1.90€1.06€1.2314
Aug ’24€1.06
€1.38
+30.2%
16.4%€1.90€1.02€1.2115
Jul ’24€0.96
€1.40
+45.1%
20.3%€2.00€0.98€1.3115
Jun ’24€0.91
€1.39
+53.3%
19.9%€2.00€0.98€1.3515
May ’24€0.92
€1.45
+57.6%
17.1%€2.00€1.05€1.2315
Apr ’24€0.99
€1.46
+47.7%
15.9%€2.00€1.15€1.1515
Mar ’24€1.19
€1.46
+23.4%
15.0%€2.00€1.15€0.9615
Feb ’24€1.14
€1.43
+25.0%
15.1%€2.00€1.15€0.8815
Jan ’24€1.03
€1.38
+33.6%
15.7%€2.00€1.13€0.8914
Dec ’23€0.94
€1.38
+46.2%
15.7%€2.00€1.13€1.0214
Nov ’23€0.89
€1.38
+54.5%
15.5%€2.00€1.15€0.9814

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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