Unicaja Banco, S.A.

BME:UNI Stock Report

Market Cap: €7.7b

Unicaja Banco Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Unicaja Banco is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 4% and 4.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 4.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.1% in 3 years.

Key information

4.0%

Earnings growth rate

4.72%

EPS growth rate

Banks earnings growth10.9%
Revenue growth rate4.9%
Future return on equity10.14%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated01 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 03

UNI: Reaffirmed 2026 Earnings Guidance Will Support Higher Fair Value

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Unicaja Banco from €3.09 to €3.29, reflecting updated assumptions on growth, profitability and P/E multiples that align with recent price target increases from several research houses. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a cluster of higher price targets for Unicaja Banco, which lines up with the updated fair value estimate.
Narrative Update May 19

UNI: Cautious Outlook Will Persist Despite Higher Earnings Guidance For 2026

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Unicaja Banco has been raised to €2.30 from €1.60. Analysts cite updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, following a series of recent target increases and rating changes from major firms.
Narrative Update Jan 24

UNI: Future Returns Will Depend On Executing Against Tighter Mid €2 Expectations

Analysts have lifted their price target for Unicaja Banco to about €2.61 from €2.44, reflecting updated assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, in line with recent target moves from Citi, Morgan Stanley and Deutsche Bank. Analyst Commentary Recent target moves cluster in a relatively tight band around €2.20 to €2.60.
Narrative Update Jan 09

UNI: Reassessed Earnings Power Will Support Higher Fair Value Per Share

Analysts have lifted their price target on Unicaja Banco, reflecting updated fair value estimates of €3.09 per share, supported by recent target increases from €2 to €2.20 and from €2.25 to €2.55, alongside revised assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates point to a more constructive stance on Unicaja Banco, with bullish analysts lifting their fair value estimates into a €2.20 to €2.55 range.
Narrative Update Dec 23

UNI: Future Returns Will Hinge On Execution As Re-Rating Appears Unlikely

The analyst price target for Unicaja Banco has been modestly raised to approximately EUR 2.44 from EUR 2.39, as analysts factor in slightly higher expected profitability and future earnings multiples despite generally cautious ratings. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a mixed but incrementally constructive stance on Unicaja Banco, with modest target price upgrades offset by cautious rating profiles.
Narrative Update Dec 09

UNI: Future Performance Will Depend On Execution As Upside Appears Limited

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Unicaja Banco, reflecting incremental upward revisions from EUR 2 to EUR 2.20 and from EUR 2.25 to EUR 2.55, as they acknowledge improving earnings that are, however, viewed as largely priced in. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a cautiously balanced stance on Unicaja Banco, with modest target price increases paired with restrained ratings and an emphasis on limited re-rating potential at current levels.
Narrative Update Nov 24

UNI: Future Performance Will Hinge On Execution Amid Balanced Earnings Outlook

Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for Unicaja Banco to €2.39 from €2.10. They cite stronger revenue growth, improved profit margins, and a modest decrease in the discount rate as key drivers for the upward adjustment in the price target.
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New Narrative Dec 27

Strong Mutual Fund Growth And Stable Deposit Costs Will Boost Net Interest Margins

Strong mutual fund growth boosts asset management revenue, alongside stable deposit costs improving potential net interest margins for Unicaja Banco.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

BME:UNI - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20282,305703N/AN/A14
12/31/20272,230681N/AN/A14
12/31/20262,145657N/AN/A14
3/31/20261,983629N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20251,973626-1,530-1,421N/A
9/30/20251,990618N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20251,992610-3,526-3,470N/A
3/31/20251,996613N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20241,930566-407-356N/A
9/30/20241,610426N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20241,6154061,7671,849N/A
3/31/20241,492337N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20231,4002602,7712,834N/A
9/30/20231,543266N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20231,401249-14,256-14,192N/A
3/31/20231,391227N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20221,408271-17,402-17,346N/A
9/30/20221,362-29N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20221,2471,20710,21810,225N/A
3/31/20221,0351,123N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20219081,10613,93113,959N/A
9/30/20217661,389N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2021669801,4931,516N/A
3/31/202165968N/AN/AN/A
12/31/2020670712,0012,028N/A
9/30/202096783N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20201,0511104,6424,701N/A
3/31/20201,122148N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20191,152165N/A-223N/A
9/30/20191,021170N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2019997149N/A-1,016N/A
3/31/20191,001158N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20181,008146N/A465N/A
9/30/2018904148N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2018908162N/A2,544N/A
3/31/2018932148N/AN/AN/A
12/31/2017926142N/A1,119N/A
9/30/201798676N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201796583N/A-1,136N/A
3/31/20171,020106N/A2,178N/A
12/31/20161,047132N/A4,347N/A
9/30/20161,005148N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2016954118N/A352N/A
3/31/201695091N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20151,098163N/A-4,633N/A
9/30/20151,007100N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20151,16273N/A-2,028N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: UNI's forecast earnings growth (4% per year) is above the savings rate (2.7%).

Earnings vs Market: UNI's earnings (4% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Spanish market (11.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: UNI's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: UNI's revenue (4.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Spanish market (6.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: UNI's revenue (4.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: UNI's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.1%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/15 05:47
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/15 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Unicaja Banco, S.A. is covered by 25 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Javier Esteban LarioBanco de Sabadell. S.A.
Jesús Gómez DominguezBanco Santander
Cecilia Romero ReyesBarclays