Stock Analysis

AS Tallinna Vesi (TAL:TVE1T) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of €0.65

The board of AS Tallinna Vesi (TAL:TVE1T) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 29th of June, with investors receiving €0.65 per share. This makes the dividend yield 4.7%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.

See our latest analysis for AS Tallinna Vesi

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AS Tallinna Vesi's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. At the time of the last dividend payment, AS Tallinna Vesi was paying out a very large proportion of what it was earning and 186% of cash flows. Paying out such a high proportion of cash flows can expose the business to needing to cut the dividend if the business runs into some challenges.

EPS is set to fall by 5.4% over the next 12 months if recent trends continue. However, if the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 94%, meaning that most of the company's earnings is being paid out to shareholders.

historic-dividend
TLSE:TVE1T Historic Dividend June 19th 2022

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2012, the first annual payment was €0.80, compared to the most recent full-year payment of €0.65. The dividend has shrunk at around 2.1% a year during that period. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Come By

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. It's not great to see that AS Tallinna Vesi's earnings per share has fallen at approximately 5.4% per year over the past five years. If earnings continue declining, the company may have to make the difficult choice of reducing the dividend or even stopping it completely - the opposite of dividend growth.

AS Tallinna Vesi's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about AS Tallinna Vesi's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. The track record isn't great, and the payments are a bit high to be considered sustainable. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for AS Tallinna Vesi that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Is AS Tallinna Vesi not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TLSE:TVE1T

AS Tallinna Vesi

A water utility company, provides drinking water and wastewater services in Estonia.

Fair value with acceptable track record.

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