Market forces rained on the parade of RTX A/S (CPH:RTX) shareholders today, when the covering analyst downgraded their forecasts for this year. Revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts were both revised downwards, with the analyst seeing grey clouds on the horizon.
Following the downgrade, the most recent consensus for RTX from its solitary analyst is for revenues of kr.544m in 2022 which, if met, would be a meaningful 13% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to soar 250% to kr.1.57. Previously, the analyst had been modelling revenues of kr.621m and earnings per share (EPS) of kr.7.38 in 2022. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a substantial drop in revenue estimates and a large cut to earnings per share numbers as well.
View our latest analysis for RTX
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that RTX's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 13% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2022 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 5.3% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 3.8% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that RTX is expected to grow much faster than its industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest issue in the new estimates is that the analyst has reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for RTX. Unfortunately, the analyst also downgraded their revenue estimates, although our data indicates revenues are expected to perform better than the wider market. Given the serious cut to this year's outlook, it's clear that the analyst has turned more bearish on RTX, and we wouldn't blame shareholders for feeling a little more cautious themselves.
Still, the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2024, which can be seen for free on our platform here.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About CPSE:RTX
RTX
A technology company, designs, manufactures, and sells wireless communication solutions in Denmark, France, Germany, Other Europe, the United States, Hong Kong, Other Asia-Pacific, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and slightly overvalued.