Stock Analysis
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Agat Ejendomme A/S (CPH:AGAT) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Agat Ejendomme
What Is Agat Ejendomme's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Agat Ejendomme had kr.467.3m of debt in October 2024, down from kr.564.3m, one year before. However, it does have kr.28.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about kr.438.6m.
A Look At Agat Ejendomme's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Agat Ejendomme had liabilities of kr.55.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of kr.450.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of kr.28.7m as well as receivables valued at kr.22.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total kr.455.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the kr.155.5m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Agat Ejendomme would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Weak interest cover of 1.7 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 9.2 hit our confidence in Agat Ejendomme like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. However, the silver lining was that Agat Ejendomme achieved a positive EBIT of kr.47m in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Agat Ejendomme will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Over the last year, Agat Ejendomme actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Our View
On the face of it, Agat Ejendomme's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Agat Ejendomme has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Agat Ejendomme has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About CPSE:AGAT
Agat Ejendomme
Owns and operates retail properties in Denmark.