Stock Analysis

MT Højgaard Holding's (CPH:MTHH) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

Investors were disappointed by MT Højgaard Holding A/S' (CPH:MTHH ) latest earnings release. Our analysis has found some reasons to be concerned, beyond the weak headline numbers.

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CPSE:MTHH Earnings and Revenue History September 1st 2025
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A Closer Look At MT Højgaard Holding's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to June 2025, MT Højgaard Holding had an accrual ratio of 0.35. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of kr.177m, which is significantly less than its profit of kr.350.7m. MT Højgaard Holding shareholders will no doubt be hoping that its free cash flow bounces back next year, since it was down over the last twelve months. One positive for MT Højgaard Holding shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of MT Højgaard Holding.

Our Take On MT Højgaard Holding's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, we think MT Højgaard Holding's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. For this reason, we think that MT Højgaard Holding's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. While conducting our analysis, we found that MT Højgaard Holding has 1 warning sign and it would be unwise to ignore it.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of MT Højgaard Holding's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.