Stock Analysis

Logwin's (ETR:TGHN) Shareholders Are Down 14% On Their Shares

It's easy to match the overall market return by buying an index fund. But if you buy individual stocks, you can do both better or worse than that. For example, the Logwin AG (ETR:TGHN) share price is down 14% in the last year. That's well below the market return of 6.1%. Longer term shareholders haven't suffered as badly, since the stock is down a comparatively less painful 3.7% in three years. There was little comfort for shareholders in the last week as the price declined a further 4.2%.

See our latest analysis for Logwin

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Unhappily, Logwin had to report a 23% decline in EPS over the last year. The share price fall of 14% isn't as bad as the reduction in earnings per share. So despite the weak per-share profits, some investors are probably relieved the situation wasn't more difficult.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-per-share-growth
XTRA:TGHN Earnings Per Share Growth December 1st 2020

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

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What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Logwin the TSR over the last year was -12%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

Over the last year, Logwin shareholders took a loss of 12%, including dividends. In contrast the market gained about 6.1%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Investors are up over three years, booking 1.0% per year, much better than the more recent returns. Sometimes when a good quality long term winner has a weak period, it's turns out to be an opportunity, but you really need to be sure that the quality is there. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Logwin is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

Of course Logwin may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on DE exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
*Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020


Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com.

About XTRA:TGHN

Logwin

Provides logistics and transport solutions in Germany, Austria, other European countries, Asia/Pacific, and internationally.

Excellent balance sheet average dividend payer.

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