Sixt's (ETR:SIX2) five-year earnings growth trails the 26% YoY shareholder returns

By
Simply Wall St
Published
March 22, 2022
XTRA:SIX2
Source: Shutterstock

The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But on the bright side, if you buy shares in a high quality company at the right price, you can gain well over 100%. One great example is Sixt SE (ETR:SIX2) which saw its share price drive 183% higher over five years. And in the last week the share price has popped 3.7%. But this might be partly because the broader market had a good week last week, gaining 3.2%.

Since the stock has added €230m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

See our latest analysis for Sixt

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During the five years of share price growth, Sixt moved from a loss to profitability. That kind of transition can be an inflection point that justifies a strong share price gain, just as we have seen here.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
XTRA:SIX2 Earnings Per Share Growth March 22nd 2022

We know that Sixt has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think Sixt will grow revenue in the future.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Sixt the TSR over the last 5 years was 212%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Sixt shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 30% over one year. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 26% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Sixt better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Sixt you should be aware of.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on DE exchanges.

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