Stock Analysis

Hapag-Lloyd (ETR:HLAG) Is Paying Out Less In Dividends Than Last Year

XTRA:HLAG
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Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:HLAG) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to €8.20 on the 6th of May. This means that the annual payment is 5.6% of the current stock price, which is lower than what the rest of the industry is paying.

Hapag-Lloyd's Projections Indicate Future Payments May Be Unsustainable

The dividend yield is a little bit low, but sustainability of the payments is also an important part of evaluating an income stock. Prior to this announcement, Hapag-Lloyd's dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This indicates that a lot of the earnings are being reinvested into the business, with the aim of fueling growth.

EPS is set to fall by 70.8% over the next 12 months. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could reach over 200%, which could put the dividend under pressure if earnings don't start to improve.

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XTRA:HLAG Historic Dividend March 31st 2025

See our latest analysis for Hapag-Lloyd

Hapag-Lloyd's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Looking back, Hapag-Lloyd's dividend hasn't been particularly consistent. Due to this, we are a little bit cautious about the dividend consistency over a full economic cycle. The dividend has gone from an annual total of €0.15 in 2019 to the most recent total annual payment of €8.20. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 95% per annum over that time. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. We are encouraged to see that Hapag-Lloyd has grown earnings per share at 46% per year over the past five years. The company's earnings per share has grown rapidly in recent years, and it has a good balance between reinvesting and paying dividends to shareholders, so we think that Hapag-Lloyd could prove to be a strong dividend payer.

We Really Like Hapag-Lloyd's Dividend

Overall, we think that Hapag-Lloyd could be a great option for a dividend investment, although we would have preferred if the dividend wasn't cut this year. The cut will allow the company to continue paying out the dividend without putting the balance sheet under pressure, which means that it could remain sustainable for longer. All of these factors considered, we think this has solid potential as a dividend stock.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Hapag-Lloyd (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.