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Waberer's International Nyrt's (BST:3WB) Strong Earnings Are Of Good Quality
Waberer's International Nyrt. (BST:3WB) just reported healthy earnings but the stock price didn't move much. Our analysis suggests that investors might be missing some promising details.
Check out our latest analysis for Waberer's International Nyrt
A Closer Look At Waberer's International Nyrt's Earnings
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
For the year to December 2023, Waberer's International Nyrt had an accrual ratio of -0.26. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of €62m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of €29.5m. Waberer's International Nyrt's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Waberer's International Nyrt's profit was boosted by unusual items worth €3.9m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. If Waberer's International Nyrt doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.
Our Take On Waberer's International Nyrt's Profit Performance
In conclusion, Waberer's International Nyrt's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Considering all the aforementioned, we'd venture that Waberer's International Nyrt's profit result is a pretty good guide to its true profitability, albeit a bit on the conservative side. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Waberer's International Nyrt at this point in time. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Waberer's International Nyrt you should be aware of.
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BST:3WB
Waberer's International Nyrt
Provides transportation, forwarding, and logistics services in Europe.
Adequate balance sheet and fair value.