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Some Investors May Be Worried About Deutsche Telekom's (ETR:DTE) Returns On Capital
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Although, when we looked at Deutsche Telekom (ETR:DTE), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Deutsche Telekom is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.057 = €15b ÷ (€299b - €45b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).
Thus, Deutsche Telekom has an ROCE of 5.7%. In absolute terms, that's a low return but it's around the Telecom industry average of 5.2%.
View our latest analysis for Deutsche Telekom
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Deutsche Telekom compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Deutsche Telekom here for free.
SWOT Analysis for Deutsche Telekom
- Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
- Debt is well covered by earnings and cashflows.
- Dividends are covered by earnings and cash flows.
- Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Telecom market.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the German market.
- Good value based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
- Annual revenue is forecast to grow slower than the German market.
What Can We Tell From Deutsche Telekom's ROCE Trend?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Deutsche Telekom, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 5.7% from 8.0% five years ago. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
What We Can Learn From Deutsche Telekom's ROCE
In summary, Deutsche Telekom is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. Investors must think there's better things to come because the stock has knocked it out of the park, delivering a 102% gain to shareholders who have held over the last five years. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.
One more thing, we've spotted 2 warning signs facing Deutsche Telekom that you might find interesting.
While Deutsche Telekom isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:DTE
Deutsche Telekom
Provides integrated telecommunication services worldwide.
Undervalued with solid track record and pays a dividend.
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