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Model N Valuation

Is 2MD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2MD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 2MD (€28) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€31.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2MD is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2MD?

Key metric: As 2MD is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 2MD. This is calculated by dividing 2MD's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 2MD's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio4.6x
SalesUS$256.31m
Market CapUS$1.18b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 2MD's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 2MD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.9x
MUM Mensch und Maschine Software
2.6x-0.1%€904.0m
TMV TeamViewer
2.3x7.5%€1.5b
AOF ATOSS Software
11.4x12.7%€1.9b
GKS0 GK Software
3.4xn/a€591.0m
2MD Model N
4.6x9.4%€1.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 2MD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.6x) compared to the peer average (5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 2MD's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Software Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CSH CENIT
0.3x5.2%US$67.18m
CLIQ Cliq Digital
0.1x13.2%US$34.55m
LSX LS telcom
0.4x5.0%US$19.33m
8DQ GetSwift Technologies
0.07xn/aUS$2.53m
2MD 4.6xIndustry Avg. 2.1xNo. of Companies7PS02.44.87.29.612+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 2MD is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.6x) compared to the German Software industry average (1.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2MD's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2MD PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4.6x
Fair PS Ratio3.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 2MD is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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