Mensch und Maschine Software SE

XTRA:MUM Stock Report

Market Cap: €842.7m

Mensch und Maschine Software Valuation

Is MUM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MUM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MUM (€50) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€91.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MUM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MUM?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MUM key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.8x
PEG Ratio2.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MUM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MUM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.1x
TMV TeamViewer
17.5x11.7%€2.0b
AOF ATOSS Software
55x12.0%€2.0b
FAA Fabasoft
24.6x10.9%€218.4m
OSP2 USU Software
31.4x39.0%€165.6m
MUM Mensch und Maschine Software
28.4x13.0%€842.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MUM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.4x) compared to the peer average (32.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MUM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a22.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a22.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MUM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.4x) compared to the European Software industry average (31.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MUM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MUM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.4x
Fair PE Ratio22.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MUM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MUM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€50.00
€70.83
+41.7%
3.2%€74.00€69.00n/a3
Apr ’25€53.20
€67.83
+27.5%
3.0%€69.50€65.00n/a3
Mar ’25€50.70
€67.50
+33.1%
2.8%€69.50€65.00n/a3
Feb ’25€50.30
€66.83
+32.9%
2.9%€69.50€65.00n/a3
Jan ’25€55.00
€66.83
+21.5%
2.9%€69.50€65.00n/a3
Dec ’24€53.70
€66.83
+24.5%
2.9%€69.50€65.00n/a3
Nov ’24€49.70
€65.63
+32.0%
4.1%€69.50€62.00n/a4
Oct ’24€45.90
€65.63
+43.0%
4.1%€69.50€62.00n/a4
Sep ’24€55.00
€65.63
+19.3%
4.1%€69.50€62.00n/a4
Aug ’24€53.70
€65.63
+22.2%
4.1%€69.50€62.00n/a4
Jul ’24€54.60
€65.65
+20.2%
5.8%€72.00€62.00n/a4
Jun ’24€51.70
€63.23
+22.3%
1.9%€65.00€62.00n/a4
May ’24€51.60
€63.23
+22.5%
1.9%€65.00€62.00n/a4
Apr ’24€51.20
€60.75
+18.7%
6.7%€65.00€54.00€53.204
Mar ’24€49.25
€59.65
+21.1%
5.7%€62.30€54.00€50.704
Feb ’24€51.60
€60.70
+17.6%
7.4%€66.50€54.00€50.304
Jan ’24€45.60
€60.93
+33.6%
8.5%€66.50€54.00€55.003
Dec ’23€51.50
€64.40
+25.0%
3.3%€66.50€62.30€53.702

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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