With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.6x LS telcom AG (ETR:LSX) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Germany have P/E ratios under 15x and even P/E's lower than 8x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, LS telcom has been very sluggish. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for LS telcom
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on LS telcom will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Is There Enough Growth For LS telcom?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as LS telcom's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 45%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 1,134% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 0.02% each year during the coming three years according to the sole analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 14% per annum, which paints a poor picture.
In light of this, it's alarming that LS telcom's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a very good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that LS telcom currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E for a company whose earnings are forecast to decline. When we see a poor outlook with earnings heading backwards, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for LS telcom that you need to be mindful of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than LS telcom. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:LSX
LS telcom
Provides software, IT system, hardware, planning, and consultancy services for optimal spectrum use customers worldwide.
Fair value with moderate growth potential.