Stock Analysis

Rainbows and Unicorns: Cliq Digital AG (ETR:CLIQ) Analysts Just Became A Lot More Optimistic

XTRA:CLIQ
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Cliq Digital AG (ETR:CLIQ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial upgrades to this year's forecasts. Consensus estimates suggest investors could expect greatly increased statutory revenues and earnings per share, with the analysts modelling a real improvement in business performance. The market may be pricing in some blue sky too, with the share price gaining 24% to €31.00 in the last 7 days. We'll be curious to see if these new estimates convince the market to lift the stock price higher still.

Following the upgrade, the most recent consensus for Cliq Digital from its four analysts is for revenues of €144m in 2021 which, if met, would be a major 34% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to leap 53% to €1.77. Previously, the analysts had been modelling revenues of €129m and earnings per share (EPS) of €1.52 in 2021. There has definitely been an improvement in perception recently, with the analysts substantially increasing both their earnings and revenue estimates.

View our latest analysis for Cliq Digital

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XTRA:CLIQ Earnings and Revenue Growth March 24th 2021

It will come as no surprise to learn that the analysts have increased their price target for Cliq Digital 46% to €46.75 on the back of these upgrades. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Cliq Digital analyst has a price target of €60.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at €37.00. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Cliq Digital shareholders.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The analysts are definitely expecting Cliq Digital's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 34% annualised growth to the end of 2021 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 7.3% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 6.2% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Cliq Digital is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away from this upgrade is that analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates for this year, expecting improving business conditions. They also upgraded their revenue estimates for this year, and sales are expected to grow faster than the wider market. With a serious upgrade to expectations and a rising price target, it might be time to take another look at Cliq Digital.

Even so, the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for the value creation of shareholders. We have estimates - from multiple Cliq Digital analysts - going out to 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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