Stock Analysis

Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On ATOSS Software SE's (ETR:AOF) Third-Quarter Report

XTRA:AOF
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Shareholders might have noticed that ATOSS Software SE (ETR:AOF) filed its quarterly result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 4.7% to €129 in the past week. It was a workmanlike result, with revenues of €42m coming in 2.4% ahead of expectations, and statutory earnings per share of €2.25, in line with analyst appraisals. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

See our latest analysis for ATOSS Software

earnings-and-revenue-growth
XTRA:AOF Earnings and Revenue Growth October 26th 2024

Following the latest results, ATOSS Software's six analysts are now forecasting revenues of €195.1m in 2025. This would be a solid 17% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory per share are forecast to be €2.76, approximately in line with the last 12 months. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of €197.9m and earnings per share (EPS) of €2.79 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of €131, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. The most optimistic ATOSS Software analyst has a price target of €155 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at €112. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that ATOSS Software's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 13% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 18% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 11% annually. Even after the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that ATOSS Software is also expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at €131, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for ATOSS Software going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Another thing to consider is whether management and directors have been buying or selling stock recently. We provide an overview of all open market stock trades for the last twelve months on our platform, here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.