Stock Analysis

Analysts Are Updating Their About You Holding SE (FRA:YOU) Estimates After Its Annual Results

DB:YOU
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Investors in About You Holding SE (FRA:YOU) had a good week, as its shares rose 2.7% to close at €4.60 following the release of its yearly results. Revenues came in at €1.9b, in line with expectations, while statutory losses per share were substantially higher than expected, at €0.65 per share. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for About You Holding

earnings-and-revenue-growth
DB:YOU Earnings and Revenue Growth May 9th 2024

Following the latest results, About You Holding's nine analysts are now forecasting revenues of €2.02b in 2025. This would be a reasonable 4.3% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. The loss per share is expected to greatly reduce in the near future, narrowing 48% to €0.34. Before this earnings announcement, the analysts had been modelling revenues of €2.08b and losses of €0.33 per share in 2025.

There was no real change to the average price target of €5.68, suggesting that the revisions to revenue estimates are not expected to have a long-term impact on About You Holding's valuation. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. The most optimistic About You Holding analyst has a price target of €7.50 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at €3.60. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that About You Holding's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 4.3% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 13% over the past three years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 5.5% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than About You Holding.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts reconfirmed their loss per share estimates for next year. On the negative side, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for About You Holding going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

We also provide an overview of the About You Holding Board and CEO remuneration and length of tenure at the company, and whether insiders have been buying the stock, here.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether About You Holding is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.