Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Primag AG (FRA:P9R) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Primag
How Much Debt Does Primag Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 Primag had debt of €16.6m, up from €13.6m in one year. On the flip side, it has €6.80m in cash leading to net debt of about €9.79m.
How Strong Is Primag's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Primag had liabilities of €21.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of €1.94m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €6.80m and €162.2k worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total €16.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the €4.87m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Primag would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Primag's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, Primag made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to €3.1m, which is a fall of 58%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
Caveat Emptor
While Primag's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable €970k at the EBIT level. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. But we think that is unlikely since it is low on liquid assets, and made a loss of €871k in the last year. So we think this stock is quite risky. We'd prefer to pass. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Primag (2 are concerning) you should be aware of.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About DB:P9R
Primag
Primag AG operates as a residential real estate development company in Germany.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.