Stock Analysis

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Bayer Aktiengesellschaft's (ETR:BAYN) Revenues Yet

XTRA:BAYN
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Bayer Aktiengesellschaft's (ETR:BAYN) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x may look like a very appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Pharmaceuticals industry in Germany have P/S ratios greater than 2.7x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Bayer

ps-multiple-vs-industry
XTRA:BAYN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 7th 2024

How Bayer Has Been Performing

The recently shrinking revenue for Bayer has been in line with the industry. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to deteriorate further, which has kept the P/S suppressed. You'd much rather the company continue improving its revenue if you still believe in the business. At the very least, you'd be hoping that revenue doesn't fall off a cliff if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Bayer's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Bayer's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 6.1%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 15% in total. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 0.7% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 3.6% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why Bayer is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On Bayer's P/S

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Bayer's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Bayer that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Bayer is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.