Bayer Aktiengesellschaft

XTRA:BAYN Stock Report

Market Cap: €27.6b

Bayer Valuation

Is BAYN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BAYN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BAYN (€28.13) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€14.82)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BAYN is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BAYN?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BAYN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.5x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BAYN's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BAYN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.3x
MRK Merck KGaA
3.1x4.3%€65.3b
DMP Dermapharm Holding
1.5x3.3%€1.7b
SRT3 Sartorius
5.9x10.4%€17.4b
PSG PharmaSGP Holding
2.7x6.7%€268.8m
BAYN Bayer
0.6x1.0%€27.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BAYN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the peer average (3.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BAYN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Pharmaceuticals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BAYN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the European Pharmaceuticals industry average (3.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BAYN's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BAYN PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.6x
Fair PS Ratio3.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: BAYN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BAYN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€28.13
€36.90
+31.2%
33.3%€68.00€25.00n/a21
Apr ’25€28.43
€37.60
+32.3%
33.0%€68.00€25.00n/a20
Mar ’25€28.33
€43.48
+53.5%
30.0%€75.00€25.00n/a21
Feb ’25€28.28
€47.67
+68.6%
30.6%€86.00€25.00n/a21
Jan ’25€33.63
€50.32
+49.6%
28.5%€86.00€25.00n/a22
Dec ’24€31.11
€54.68
+75.8%
27.3%€90.00€36.00n/a22
Nov ’24€40.27
€64.13
+59.2%
18.3%€90.00€43.00n/a22
Oct ’24€45.45
€65.89
+45.0%
18.4%€90.00€43.00n/a21
Sep ’24€50.87
€66.71
+31.1%
16.6%€90.00€45.00n/a21
Aug ’24€52.97
€68.62
+29.5%
18.1%€97.00€45.00n/a21
Jul ’24€50.67
€73.00
+44.1%
16.2%€97.00€57.00n/a20
Jun ’24€51.90
€72.85
+40.4%
15.9%€97.00€57.00n/a21
May ’24€59.76
€74.31
+24.3%
16.1%€100.00€57.00€27.3522
Apr ’24€58.72
€74.45
+26.8%
16.2%€100.00€57.00€28.4322
Mar ’24€56.34
€74.30
+31.9%
16.5%€99.00€54.00€28.3323
Feb ’24€56.50
€73.99
+31.0%
18.0%€106.00€54.00€28.2823
Jan ’24€48.33
€76.67
+58.7%
17.4%€106.00€54.00€33.6322
Dec ’23€55.03
€77.99
+41.7%
15.9%€106.00€54.00€31.1122
Nov ’23€53.86
€77.41
+43.7%
19.2%€106.00€37.06€40.2722
Oct ’23€47.42
€76.83
+62.0%
18.4%€106.00€37.06€45.4523
Sep ’23€51.18
€78.91
+54.2%
14.5%€106.00€55.00€50.8723
Aug ’23€56.72
€77.13
+36.0%
14.9%€106.00€55.00€52.9723
Jul ’23€57.35
€78.73
+37.3%
18.3%€122.62€55.00€50.6724
Jun ’23€66.74
€77.14
+15.6%
19.8%€122.62€55.00€51.9025
May ’23€62.90
€75.17
+19.5%
20.2%€122.62€55.00€59.7625

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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