PharmaSGP Holding Valuation

Is PSG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PSG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PSG (€23.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€95.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PSG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PSG?

Key metric: As PSG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PSG. This is calculated by dividing PSG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PSG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.4x
Earnings€18.21m
Market Cap€280.57m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PSG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PSG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.5x
2FJ0 Pierrel
29.9xn/a€92.8m
DMP Dermapharm Holding
22.3x18.1%€2.0b
93M1 MPH Health Care
0.9x-65.7%€105.3m
FYB Formycon
12.9x31.5%€827.2m
PSG PharmaSGP Holding
15.4x13.9%€280.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PSG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the peer average (16.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PSG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Pharmaceuticals Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PSG 15.4xIndustry Avg. 20.3xNo. of Companies10PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PSG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the European Pharmaceuticals industry average (20.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PSG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PSG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.4x
Fair PE Ratio12.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PSG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PSG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€23.40
€38.75
+65.6%
1.9%€39.50€38.00n/a2
Nov ’25€24.60
€38.75
+57.5%
1.9%€39.50€38.00n/a2
Oct ’25€21.00
€38.75
+84.5%
1.9%€39.50€38.00n/a2
Sep ’25€20.40
€38.75
+90.0%
1.9%€39.50€38.00n/a2
Aug ’25€20.80
€38.75
+86.3%
1.9%€39.50€38.00n/a2
Jul ’25€22.20
€38.75
+74.5%
1.9%€39.50€38.00n/a2
Jun ’25€22.40
€37.00
+65.2%
2.7%€38.00€36.00n/a2
May ’25€23.40
€37.00
+58.1%
2.7%€38.00€36.00n/a2
Apr ’25€21.90
€37.00
+68.9%
2.7%€38.00€36.00n/a2
Mar ’25€22.90
€37.00
+61.6%
2.7%€38.00€36.00n/a2
Feb ’25€22.30
€37.00
+65.9%
2.7%€38.00€36.00n/a2
Jan ’25€22.50
€37.00
+64.4%
2.7%€38.00€36.00n/a2
Dec ’24€18.75
€37.00
+97.3%
2.7%€38.00€36.00n/a2
Nov ’24€20.30
€37.00
+82.3%
2.7%€38.00€36.00€24.602
Oct ’24€24.00
€37.00
+54.2%
2.7%€38.00€36.00€21.002
Sep ’24€24.30
€37.00
+52.3%
2.7%€38.00€36.00€20.402
Aug ’24€27.20
€37.00
+36.0%
2.7%€38.00€36.00€20.802
Jul ’24€27.70
€37.00
+33.6%
2.7%€38.00€36.00€22.202
Jun ’24€26.80
€37.00
+38.1%
2.7%€38.00€36.00€22.402
May ’24€28.90
€35.50
+22.8%
1.4%€36.00€35.00€23.402
Apr ’24€28.90
€35.50
+22.8%
1.4%€36.00€35.00€21.902
Mar ’24€25.90
€34.50
+33.2%
1.4%€35.00€34.00€22.902
Feb ’24€25.80
€34.50
+33.7%
1.4%€35.00€34.00€22.302
Jan ’24€26.60
€34.50
+29.7%
1.4%€35.00€34.00€22.502
Dec ’23€25.50
€34.50
+35.3%
1.4%€35.00€34.00€18.752
Nov ’23€25.00
€34.50
+38.0%
1.4%€35.00€34.00€20.302

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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