Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that BASF SE (ETR:BAS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for BASF
How Much Debt Does BASF Carry?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that BASF had €20.1b in debt in September 2020; about the same as the year before. However, it also had €5.86b in cash, and so its net debt is €14.3b.
How Strong Is BASF's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, BASF had liabilities of €21.1b due within 12 months, and liabilities of €31.2b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had €5.86b in cash and €14.4b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €32.1b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit isn't so bad because BASF is worth a massive €62.2b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if BASF can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
In the last year BASF's revenue was pretty flat, and it made a negative EBIT. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.
Caveat Emptor
Importantly, BASF had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at €943m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of €2.0b. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - BASF has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About XTRA:BAS
Adequate balance sheet with moderate growth potential.
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