BASF Valuation

Is BAS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BAS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BAS (€51.07) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€54.51)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BAS is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BAS?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BAS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.4x
PEG Ratio6.5x

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BAS's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BAS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.2x
LXS LANXESS
0.3x3.0%€2.3b
SY1 Symrise
3.1x5.3%€14.5b
1COV Covestro
0.7x4.1%€9.4b
EVK Evonik Industries
0.6x2.0%€9.0b
BAS BASF
0.7x3.8%€45.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BAS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the peer average (1.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BAS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BAS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BAS's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BAS PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.7x
Fair PS Ratio0.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: BAS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BAS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€51.07
€54.80
+7.3%
13.4%€72.00€42.50n/a20
Apr ’25€52.93
€52.70
-0.4%
13.3%€63.00€41.00n/a20
Mar ’25€47.99
€50.15
+4.5%
13.3%€62.00€39.00n/a20
Feb ’25€44.14
€48.89
+10.8%
13.8%€62.00€39.00n/a19
Jan ’25€48.78
€50.26
+3.0%
12.1%€62.00€39.00n/a19
Dec ’24€43.24
€48.98
+13.3%
13.7%€62.00€39.00n/a21
Nov ’24€42.29
€49.12
+16.2%
13.1%€62.00€37.00n/a21
Oct ’24€42.95
€50.90
+18.5%
13.4%€64.00€37.00n/a21
Sep ’24€46.89
€51.32
+9.5%
12.3%€64.00€40.00n/a21
Aug ’24€48.66
€51.46
+5.8%
12.2%€64.00€40.00n/a21
Jul ’24€44.47
€53.61
+20.6%
15.1%€75.00€43.00n/a22
Jun ’24€44.85
€54.05
+20.5%
17.0%€75.00€31.03n/a22
May ’24€46.85
€53.86
+15.0%
16.5%€72.00€31.03n/a22
Apr ’24€48.36
€53.77
+11.2%
16.0%€68.00€31.03€52.9322
Mar ’24€48.38
€54.14
+11.9%
15.6%€68.00€31.03€47.9922
Feb ’24€52.74
€53.50
+1.4%
15.7%€68.00€31.03€44.1422
Jan ’24€46.39
€53.84
+16.1%
17.2%€72.00€31.03€48.7823
Dec ’23€47.86
€54.06
+13.0%
18.0%€75.00€31.03€43.2423
Nov ’23€45.50
€53.20
+16.9%
17.3%€75.00€31.03€42.2923
Oct ’23€39.60
€54.61
+37.9%
20.3%€80.00€31.03€42.9523
Sep ’23€41.31
€55.83
+35.2%
19.4%€80.00€31.03€46.8923
Aug ’23€43.34
€56.81
+31.1%
18.8%€80.00€31.03€48.6623
Jul ’23€41.27
€62.61
+51.7%
20.2%€88.00€31.03€44.4723
Jun ’23€51.73
€64.04
+23.8%
18.4%€87.00€31.03€44.8524
May ’23€50.41
€66.49
+31.9%
18.2%€97.00€33.27€46.8524
Apr ’23€52.13
€72.09
+38.3%
16.1%€108.00€55.00€48.3624

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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