Stock Analysis

DFV Deutsche Familienversicherung AG's (ETR:DFV) Subdued P/S Might Signal An Opportunity

XTRA:DFV
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There wouldn't be many who think DFV Deutsche Familienversicherung AG's (ETR:DFV) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Insurance industry in Germany is similar at about 0.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for DFV Deutsche Familienversicherung

ps-multiple-vs-industry
XTRA:DFV Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024

What Does DFV Deutsche Familienversicherung's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

DFV Deutsche Familienversicherung could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on DFV Deutsche Familienversicherung.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like DFV Deutsche Familienversicherung's to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 5.5%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 105% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 59% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 30%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that DFV Deutsche Familienversicherung's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that DFV Deutsche Familienversicherung currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for DFV Deutsche Familienversicherung you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether DFV Deutsche Familienversicherung is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.