Stock Analysis

SYNLAB AG (FRA:SYAB) Stock Catapults 27% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Market

DB:SYAB
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SYNLAB AG (FRA:SYAB) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 3.2% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in Germany have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 18x, you may still consider SYNLAB as a highly attractive investment with its 6.1x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

SYNLAB certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for SYNLAB

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DB:SYAB Price Based on Past Earnings May 29th 2022
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on SYNLAB will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is SYNLAB's Growth Trending?

SYNLAB's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 198%. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 29% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 13% per year, which paints a poor picture.

In light of this, it's understandable that SYNLAB's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Final Word

Shares in SYNLAB are going to need a lot more upward momentum to get the company's P/E out of its slump. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that SYNLAB maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for SYNLAB (1 can't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.

You might be able to find a better investment than SYNLAB. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20x (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.