Stock Analysis

Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On MedNation AG (FRA:EIF) Even After 25% Share Price Boost

DB:EIF
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The MedNation AG (FRA:EIF) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 25%. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 7.3% over the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think MedNation's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Germany's Healthcare industry is similar at about 0.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

See our latest analysis for MedNation

ps-multiple-vs-industry
DB:EIF Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 3rd 2024

How MedNation Has Been Performing

The revenue growth achieved at MedNation over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for MedNation, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, MedNation would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 18% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 35% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 0.2% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's curious that MedNation's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From MedNation's P/S?

MedNation appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

To our surprise, MedNation revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for MedNation (2 are potentially serious!) that we have uncovered.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.