Stock Analysis

Does Fresenius SE KGaA (ETR:FRE) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

XTRA:FRE
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Fresenius SE & Co. KGaA (ETR:FRE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Fresenius SE KGaA

What Is Fresenius SE KGaA's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Fresenius SE KGaA had debt of €13.8b at the end of December 2023, a reduction from €21.2b over a year. However, it also had €2.57b in cash, and so its net debt is €11.3b.

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XTRA:FRE Debt to Equity History March 29th 2024

How Healthy Is Fresenius SE KGaA's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Fresenius SE KGaA had liabilities of €9.33b due within 12 months, and liabilities of €16.3b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of €2.57b and €6.03b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €17.0b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's massive market capitalization of €14.1b, we think shareholders really should watch Fresenius SE KGaA's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.3, it's fair to say Fresenius SE KGaA does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 2.8 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Worse, Fresenius SE KGaA's EBIT was down 36% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Fresenius SE KGaA's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Fresenius SE KGaA actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

On the face of it, Fresenius SE KGaA's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. It's also worth noting that Fresenius SE KGaA is in the Healthcare industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Fresenius SE KGaA has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Fresenius SE KGaA (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Fresenius SE KGaA is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.