Stock Analysis

Capital Allocation Trends At Fresenius SE KGaA (ETR:FRE) Aren't Ideal

XTRA:FRE
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If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Fresenius SE KGaA (ETR:FRE) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Fresenius SE KGaA:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.054 = €3.4b ÷ (€76b - €14b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

Thus, Fresenius SE KGaA has an ROCE of 5.4%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 5.9% average generated by the Healthcare industry.

See our latest analysis for Fresenius SE KGaA

roce
XTRA:FRE Return on Capital Employed April 18th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Fresenius SE KGaA compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Fresenius SE KGaA.

SWOT Analysis for Fresenius SE KGaA

Strength
  • Debt is well covered by earnings.
  • Dividends are covered by earnings and cash flows.
Weakness
  • Earnings declined over the past year.
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Healthcare market.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the German market.
  • Good value based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
Threat
  • Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.
  • Revenue is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

The Trend Of ROCE

In terms of Fresenius SE KGaA's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 11%, but since then they've fallen to 5.4%. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.

Our Take On Fresenius SE KGaA's ROCE

To conclude, we've found that Fresenius SE KGaA is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 57% in the last five years. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.

If you want to know some of the risks facing Fresenius SE KGaA we've found 2 warning signs (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

While Fresenius SE KGaA isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.