Diageo Valuation

Is GUIA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GUIA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GUIA (€131) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€199.2)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GUIA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GUIA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GUIA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.2x
PEG Ratio3.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GUIA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GUIA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19x
000858 Wuliangye YibinLtd
20x11.8%CN¥578.3b
SWA Schloss Wachenheim
10.6x7.3%€120.4m
STZ Constellation Brands
27.7x11.4%US$47.9b
RI Pernod Ricard
17.5x5.8%€35.7b
GUIA Diageo
18x4.8%€61.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GUIA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x) compared to the peer average (18.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GUIA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GUIA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x) compared to the European Beverage industry average (18x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GUIA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GUIA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18x
Fair PE Ratio29.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GUIA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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