Wuliangye Yibin Co.,Ltd.

SZSE:000858 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥580.3b

Wuliangye YibinLtd Valuation

Is 000858 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 000858 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 000858 (CN¥149.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥223.63)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 000858 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 000858?

Key metric: As 000858 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 000858. This is calculated by dividing 000858's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 000858's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18x
EarningsCN¥32.31b
Market CapCN¥580.30b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 000858's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 000858 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.6x
600809 Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine FactoryLtd
20.6x12.3%CN¥254.3b
000568 Luzhou LaojiaoLtd
14.6x11.0%CN¥208.5b
600519 Kweichow Moutai
23.5x11.0%CN¥1.9t
002304 Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery
15.6x7.4%CN¥131.3b
000858 Wuliangye YibinLtd
18x8.8%CN¥580.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 000858 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x) compared to the peer average (18.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 000858's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
000858 18.0xIndustry Avg. 24.5xNo. of Companies6PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 000858 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x) compared to the CN Beverage industry average (24.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 000858's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

000858 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18x
Fair PE Ratio27.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 000858 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 000858 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥149.50
CN¥170.89
+14.3%
15.2%CN¥218.70CN¥120.00n/a21
Nov ’25CN¥147.92
CN¥171.21
+15.7%
14.9%CN¥218.70CN¥120.00n/a22
Oct ’25CN¥162.51
CN¥166.62
+2.5%
17.6%CN¥218.70CN¥121.00n/a20
Sep ’25CN¥123.03
CN¥168.97
+37.3%
15.7%CN¥218.70CN¥125.00n/a20
Aug ’25CN¥124.00
CN¥180.02
+45.2%
13.6%CN¥218.90CN¥132.13n/a19
Jul ’25CN¥128.30
CN¥187.51
+46.1%
10.2%CN¥218.90CN¥150.00n/a19
Jun ’25CN¥146.70
CN¥191.22
+30.4%
10.5%CN¥228.00CN¥150.00n/a21
May ’25CN¥150.43
CN¥192.27
+27.8%
11.4%CN¥240.60CN¥150.00n/a21
Apr ’25CN¥157.28
CN¥189.30
+20.4%
12.6%CN¥240.60CN¥150.00n/a21
Mar ’25CN¥142.59
CN¥187.37
+31.4%
12.9%CN¥240.60CN¥150.00n/a21
Feb ’25CN¥126.50
CN¥191.04
+51.0%
12.8%CN¥240.60CN¥150.00n/a21
Jan ’25CN¥140.31
CN¥201.97
+43.9%
14.1%CN¥250.00CN¥150.00n/a21
Dec ’24CN¥147.21
CN¥208.68
+41.8%
11.6%CN¥250.00CN¥160.00n/a21
Nov ’24CN¥160.00
CN¥212.78
+33.0%
13.0%CN¥300.00CN¥160.00CN¥147.9221
Oct ’24CN¥156.10
CN¥215.43
+38.0%
12.8%CN¥300.00CN¥160.00CN¥162.5121
Sep ’24CN¥159.74
CN¥216.68
+35.6%
12.4%CN¥300.00CN¥160.00CN¥123.0322
Aug ’24CN¥179.88
CN¥224.91
+25.0%
12.8%CN¥300.00CN¥160.00CN¥124.0022
Jul ’24CN¥163.57
CN¥227.50
+39.1%
12.7%CN¥300.00CN¥160.00CN¥128.3022
Jun ’24CN¥163.32
CN¥226.33
+38.6%
12.6%CN¥300.00CN¥160.00CN¥146.7023
May ’24CN¥169.00
CN¥229.90
+36.0%
15.0%CN¥300.00CN¥150.00CN¥150.4321
Apr ’24CN¥197.00
CN¥235.52
+19.6%
17.0%CN¥324.00CN¥150.00CN¥157.2821
Mar ’24CN¥207.38
CN¥234.04
+12.9%
17.2%CN¥324.00CN¥150.00CN¥142.5921
Feb ’24CN¥210.06
CN¥223.52
+6.4%
18.0%CN¥324.00CN¥150.00CN¥126.5021
Jan ’24CN¥180.69
CN¥216.67
+19.9%
17.9%CN¥324.00CN¥150.00CN¥140.3121
Dec ’23CN¥164.59
CN¥212.17
+28.9%
19.8%CN¥324.00CN¥141.00CN¥147.2121
Nov ’23CN¥142.58
CN¥220.37
+54.6%
19.4%CN¥324.00CN¥141.00CN¥160.0021

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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