Schloss Wachenheim Valuation

Is SWA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SWA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SWA (€15) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€138.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SWA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SWA?

Key metric: As SWA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SWA. This is calculated by dividing SWA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SWA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.2x
Earnings€7.34m
Market Cap€118.80m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SWA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SWA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.4x
1SK Sektkellerei J.Oppmann
6.7xn/a€5.9m
KUL Kulmbacher Brauerei Aktien-Gesellschaft
23.6xn/a€140.4m
MUT Mineralbrunnen Überkingen-Teinach GmbH KGaA
12.6xn/a€96.9m
SMB Schwälbchen Molkerei Jakob Berz
6.7xn/a€55.8m
SWA Schloss Wachenheim
16.2x17.7%€118.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SWA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x) compared to the peer average (12.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SWA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SWA 16.2xIndustry Avg. 17.3xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SWA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x) compared to the European Beverage industry average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SWA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SWA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.2x
Fair PE Ratio17.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SWA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SWA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€15.00
€20.80
+38.7%
5.8%€22.00€19.60n/a2
Nov ’25€15.10
€20.80
+37.7%
5.8%€22.00€19.60n/a2
Oct ’25€15.80
€20.80
+31.6%
5.8%€22.00€19.60n/a2
Sep ’25€15.30
€20.80
+35.9%
5.8%€22.00€19.60n/a2
Aug ’25€15.40
€20.80
+35.1%
5.8%€22.00€19.60n/a2
Jul ’25€15.30
€20.53
+34.2%
5.1%€22.00€19.60n/a3
Jun ’25€15.60
€20.53
+31.6%
5.1%€22.00€19.60n/a3
May ’25€15.30
€20.63
+34.9%
4.7%€22.00€19.90n/a3
Apr ’25€15.30
€20.63
+34.9%
4.7%€22.00€19.90n/a3
Mar ’25€15.50
€20.63
+33.1%
4.7%€22.00€19.90n/a3
Feb ’25€15.80
€20.80
+31.6%
4.2%€22.00€20.00n/a3
Jan ’25€16.40
€20.80
+26.8%
4.2%€22.00€20.00n/a3
Dec ’24€16.20
€21.20
+30.9%
3.8%€22.00€20.40n/a2
Nov ’24€16.70
€21.85
+30.8%
0.7%€22.00€21.70€15.102
Oct ’24€16.10
€21.85
+35.7%
0.7%€22.00€21.70€15.802
Sep ’24€16.90
€22.20
+31.4%
0.9%€22.40€22.00€15.302
Aug ’24€16.40
€22.20
+35.4%
0.9%€22.40€22.00€15.402
Jul ’24€16.40
€21.47
+30.9%
4.9%€22.40€20.00€15.303
Jun ’24€16.30
€21.47
+31.7%
4.9%€22.40€20.00€15.603
May ’24€15.70
€20.67
+31.6%
2.3%€21.00€20.00€15.303
Apr ’24€15.40
€20.67
+34.2%
2.3%€21.00€20.00€15.303
Mar ’24€15.60
€20.67
+32.5%
2.3%€21.00€20.00€15.503
Feb ’24€15.50
€21.00
+35.5%
3.9%€22.00€20.00€15.803
Jan ’24€15.70
€21.00
+33.8%
3.9%€22.00€20.00€16.403
Dec ’23€15.80
€21.50
+36.1%
2.3%€22.00€21.00€16.202
Nov ’23€16.50
€21.50
+30.3%
2.3%€22.00€21.00€16.702

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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