Constellation Brands, Inc.

NYSE:STZ Stock Report

Market Cap: US$31.7b

Constellation Brands Valuation

Is STZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of STZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$381.11
Fair Value
53.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
25
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: STZ ($178.29) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($381.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: STZ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for STZ?

Key metric: As STZ is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for STZ. This is calculated by dividing STZ's market cap by their current revenue.
What is STZ's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio3.1x
SalesUS$10.21b
Market CapUS$31.73b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does STZ's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for STZ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.3x
BF.B Brown-Forman
3.9x3.62%US$15.7b
MGPI MGP Ingredients
1x-7.87%US$625.8m
KDP Keurig Dr Pepper
2.9x3.88%US$45.7b
KOF Coca-Cola FEMSA. de
1.4x6.79%US$20.0b
STZ Constellation Brands
3.1x1.28%US$31.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: STZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.1x) compared to the peer average (2.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does STZ's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Beverage Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CIRX CirTran
0.04xn/aUS$57.86k
ICNB Iconic Brands
0.0008xn/aUS$10.79k
BRBL BrewBilt Brewing
0.01xn/aUS$9.47k
WBEV.Q Winc
0.00004xn/aUS$2.63k
STZ 3.1xIndustry Avg. 2.0xNo. of Companies6PS01.22.43.64.86+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: STZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.1x) compared to the US Beverage industry average (2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is STZ's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

STZ PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3.1x
Fair PS Ratio2.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: STZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst STZ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$178.29
US$216.33
+21.34%
14.13%US$300.00US$165.00n/a25
May ’26US$185.44
US$216.09
+16.53%
14.64%US$300.00US$165.00n/a25
Apr ’26US$184.81
US$229.24
+24.04%
15.78%US$300.00US$180.00n/a25
Mar ’26US$175.50
US$241.36
+37.53%
14.48%US$300.00US$190.00n/a25
Feb ’26US$180.80
US$243.88
+34.89%
13.62%US$300.00US$190.00n/a25
Jan ’26US$221.00
US$289.20
+30.86%
6.21%US$325.00US$255.00n/a25
Dec ’25US$240.95
US$290.47
+20.55%
6.21%US$325.00US$255.00n/a24
Nov ’25US$232.77
US$291.97
+25.43%
5.95%US$325.00US$255.00n/a23
Oct ’25US$257.68
US$297.40
+15.42%
5.22%US$325.00US$256.00n/a23
Sep ’25US$240.71
US$298.93
+24.19%
5.58%US$330.00US$259.00n/a23
Aug ’25US$245.37
US$300.14
+22.32%
5.30%US$330.00US$262.00n/a23
Jul ’25US$256.29
US$299.68
+16.93%
4.79%US$330.00US$262.00n/a24
Jun ’25US$250.23
US$299.93
+19.86%
4.90%US$330.00US$264.00US$178.2924
May ’25US$253.95
US$300.13
+18.19%
4.81%US$330.00US$264.00US$185.4425
Apr ’25US$266.00
US$293.32
+10.27%
5.59%US$325.00US$250.00US$184.8125
Mar ’25US$250.00
US$292.21
+16.88%
5.71%US$325.00US$250.00US$175.5024
Feb ’25US$252.68
US$292.21
+15.64%
5.71%US$325.00US$250.00US$180.8024
Jan ’25US$241.75
US$290.56
+20.19%
5.22%US$311.00US$252.00US$221.0023
Dec ’24US$241.95
US$291.92
+20.65%
4.99%US$311.00US$249.00US$240.9523
Nov ’24US$234.21
US$291.10
+24.29%
5.41%US$311.00US$244.00US$232.7722
Oct ’24US$251.33
US$291.69
+16.06%
5.81%US$315.00US$243.00US$257.6822
Sep ’24US$259.48
US$283.95
+9.43%
7.26%US$315.00US$240.00US$240.7122
Aug ’24US$270.03
US$280.00
+3.69%
8.00%US$315.00US$240.00US$245.3723
Jul ’24US$246.13
US$270.35
+9.84%
6.64%US$300.00US$234.00US$256.2923
Jun ’24US$242.70
US$262.96
+8.35%
7.70%US$295.00US$218.00US$250.2324
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 25 Analysts
US$216.33
Fair Value
17.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
25
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/06/02 16:07
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/30 00:00
Earnings2025/02/28
Annual Earnings2025/02/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Constellation Brands, Inc. is covered by 48 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
Edward LewisAtlantic Equities LLP
Michael BrancaBarclays