We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Coca-Cola FEMSA. de Valuation

Is KOF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KOF?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

KOF key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8.5x
PEG Ratio1.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KOF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KOF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.5x
FIZZ National Beverage
34.1x13.5%US$4.8b
COKE Coca-Cola Consolidated
13.6xn/aUS$4.5b
KDP Keurig Dr Pepper
29.7x11.9%US$54.2b
MNST Monster Beverage
44.5x17.7%US$53.9b
KOF Coca-Cola FEMSA. de
15.6x11.3%US$14.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KOF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the peer average (30.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KOF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.0%
n/an/an/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KOF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the Global Beverage industry average (19.4x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KOF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KOF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.6x
Fair PE Ratio21.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: KOF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.9x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KOF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KOF ($68.33) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($95.25)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KOF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KOF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$68.33
US$67.75
-0.9%
8.9%US$77.00US$56.00n/a12
Nov ’23US$64.36
US$69.08
+7.3%
11.5%US$86.00US$56.00n/a12
Oct ’23US$58.39
US$65.48
+12.1%
8.8%US$78.00US$56.00n/a12
Sep ’23US$61.04
US$65.48
+7.3%
8.8%US$78.00US$56.00n/a12
Aug ’23US$60.73
US$65.90
+8.5%
15.9%US$98.00US$56.00n/a12
Jul ’23US$56.38
US$62.88
+11.5%
7.0%US$73.00US$56.00n/a12
Jun ’23US$58.90
US$62.55
+6.2%
6.7%US$73.00US$57.00n/a12
May ’23US$54.60
US$61.38
+12.4%
7.8%US$72.00US$55.00n/a12
Apr ’23US$56.00
US$64.05
+14.4%
20.5%US$106.00US$55.00n/a12
Mar ’23US$53.27
US$64.47
+21.0%
20.0%US$106.00US$55.00n/a12
Feb ’23US$52.80
US$60.47
+14.5%
5.5%US$68.00US$55.00n/a12
Jan ’23US$54.79
US$61.97
+13.1%
8.0%US$70.00US$55.00n/a12
Dec ’22US$49.50
US$61.98
+25.2%
8.0%US$70.00US$55.00n/a12
Nov ’22US$54.27
US$62.68
+15.5%
8.9%US$72.00US$55.00US$64.3612
Oct ’22US$55.64
US$64.10
+15.2%
9.4%US$73.00US$55.00US$58.3912
Sep ’22US$57.14
US$66.26
+16.0%
17.0%US$99.00US$55.00US$61.0412
Aug ’22US$56.57
US$68.68
+21.4%
26.7%US$116.00US$50.00US$60.7312
Jul ’22US$52.95
US$65.17
+23.1%
26.0%US$116.00US$50.00US$56.3811
Jun ’22US$49.79
US$64.98
+30.5%
26.1%US$116.00US$50.00US$58.9011
May ’22US$46.97
US$64.98
+38.4%
26.1%US$116.00US$50.00US$54.6011
Apr ’22US$46.60
US$64.47
+38.3%
26.5%US$116.00US$50.00US$56.0011
Mar ’22US$43.31
US$64.28
+48.4%
27.0%US$116.00US$50.00US$53.2711
Feb ’22US$44.39
US$64.42
+45.1%
27.8%US$116.00US$50.00US$52.8011
Jan ’22US$46.10
US$63.52
+37.8%
29.4%US$116.00US$45.00US$54.7911
Dec ’21US$45.68
US$62.64
+37.1%
28.8%US$116.00US$45.00US$49.5012
Nov ’21US$37.89
US$61.88
+63.3%
29.1%US$116.00US$45.00US$54.2712

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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