Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V.

NYSE:KOF Stock Report

Market Cap: US$20.8b

Coca-Cola FEMSA. de Valuation

Is KOF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • PM vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KOF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KOF ($98.84) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($128.52)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KOF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KOF?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

KOF key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9.8x
PEG Ratio2.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KOF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KOF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26x
KDP Keurig Dr Pepper
19.2x6.7%US$41.9b
COKE Coca-Cola Consolidated
19xn/aUS$7.8b
MNST Monster Beverage
36.7x12.1%US$57.5b
FIZZ National Beverage
29.1xn/aUS$4.8b
KOF Coca-Cola FEMSA. de
16.7x7.7%US$20.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KOF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x) compared to the peer average (26x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KOF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KOF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x) compared to the Global Beverage industry average (19.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KOF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KOF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.7x
Fair PE Ratio20.5x

PM vs Fair Ratio: KOF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KOF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$98.84
US$99.30
+0.5%
12.9%US$122.00US$70.00n/a12
Feb ’25US$97.88
US$91.84
-6.2%
13.8%US$109.39US$67.00n/a14
Jan ’25US$94.64
US$88.99
-6.0%
12.3%US$108.00US$67.00n/a14
Dec ’24US$85.64
US$87.94
+2.7%
12.9%US$108.00US$67.00n/a12
Nov ’24US$76.79
US$88.72
+15.5%
13.5%US$108.00US$67.00n/a12
Oct ’24US$78.44
US$90.40
+15.2%
13.1%US$108.00US$67.00n/a11
Sep ’24US$84.69
US$91.20
+7.7%
12.9%US$108.00US$67.00n/a12
Aug ’24US$83.70
US$91.76
+9.6%
14.6%US$112.00US$67.00n/a12
Jul ’24US$83.31
US$86.20
+3.5%
12.4%US$108.00US$67.00n/a13
Jun ’24US$83.45
US$83.28
-0.2%
10.5%US$97.00US$67.00n/a13
May ’24US$83.72
US$81.07
-3.2%
10.7%US$97.00US$67.00n/a13
Apr ’24US$80.47
US$75.93
-5.6%
9.4%US$87.00US$61.00n/a13
Mar ’24US$73.05
US$73.19
+0.2%
8.9%US$83.00US$61.00n/a13
Feb ’24US$75.53
US$70.89
-6.1%
10.5%US$79.81US$56.00US$97.8811
Jan ’24US$67.88
US$68.89
+1.5%
9.1%US$77.00US$56.00US$94.6411
Dec ’23US$68.68
US$67.73
-1.4%
8.9%US$77.00US$56.00US$85.6412
Nov ’23US$64.36
US$69.06
+7.3%
11.5%US$86.00US$56.00US$76.7912
Oct ’23US$58.39
US$65.48
+12.1%
8.8%US$78.00US$56.00US$78.4412
Sep ’23US$61.04
US$65.48
+7.3%
8.8%US$78.00US$56.00US$84.6912
Aug ’23US$60.73
US$65.90
+8.5%
15.9%US$98.00US$56.00US$83.7012
Jul ’23US$56.38
US$62.88
+11.5%
7.0%US$73.00US$56.00US$83.3112
Jun ’23US$58.90
US$62.55
+6.2%
6.7%US$73.00US$57.00US$83.4512
May ’23US$54.60
US$61.38
+12.4%
7.8%US$72.00US$55.00US$83.7212
Apr ’23US$56.00
US$64.05
+14.4%
20.5%US$106.00US$55.00US$80.4712
Mar ’23US$53.27
US$64.47
+21.0%
20.0%US$106.00US$55.00US$73.0512
Feb ’23US$52.80
US$60.47
+14.5%
5.5%US$68.00US$55.00US$75.5312

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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