The 123fahrschule SE (FRA:123F) share price has softened a substantial 34% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 61% share price decline.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that 123fahrschule's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Consumer Services industry in Germany, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.7x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Check out our latest analysis for 123fahrschule
How Has 123fahrschule Performed Recently?
With its revenue growth in positive territory compared to the declining revenue of most other companies, 123fahrschule has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think the company's revenue will be less resilient moving forward. Those who are bullish on 123fahrschule will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a slightly lower valuation.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on 123fahrschule will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, 123fahrschule would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 24%. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 15% per year over the next three years. With the industry only predicted to deliver 7.6% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this information, we find it interesting that 123fahrschule is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From 123fahrschule's P/S?
Following 123fahrschule's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that 123fahrschule currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.
Having said that, be aware 123fahrschule is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About DB:123F
123fahrschule
Engages in driving license training in the German driving school market.
Adequate balance sheet slight.