Stock Analysis

Why We're Not Concerned About Redcare Pharmacy NV's (ETR:RDC) Share Price

XTRA:RDC
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When close to half the companies in the Consumer Retailing industry in Germany have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.5x, you may consider Redcare Pharmacy NV (ETR:RDC) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 1.5x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Redcare Pharmacy

ps-multiple-vs-industry
XTRA:RDC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 17th 2023

How Has Redcare Pharmacy Performed Recently?

Recent revenue growth for Redcare Pharmacy has been in line with the industry. It might be that many expect the mediocre revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Redcare Pharmacy's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Redcare Pharmacy would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 18% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 68% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 29% per year as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 6.5% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Redcare Pharmacy is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Redcare Pharmacy's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Having said that, be aware Redcare Pharmacy is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.