Stock Analysis

Is Hugo Boss (ETR:BOSS) A Risky Investment?

XTRA:BOSS
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Hugo Boss AG (ETR:BOSS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

What Is Hugo Boss's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Hugo Boss had €327.0m of debt at March 2025, down from €375.0m a year prior. However, it also had €107.0m in cash, and so its net debt is €220.0m.

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XTRA:BOSS Debt to Equity History May 26th 2025

How Strong Is Hugo Boss' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hugo Boss had liabilities of €918.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of €1.26b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €107.0m as well as receivables valued at €344.0m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €1.73b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of €2.69b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Hugo Boss' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

View our latest analysis for Hugo Boss

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 0.46 and interest cover of 6.8 times, it seems to us that Hugo Boss is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. On the other hand, Hugo Boss's EBIT dived 14%, over the last year. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hugo Boss can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Hugo Boss recorded free cash flow worth 63% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Hugo Boss's EBIT growth rate and level of total liabilities definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able handle its debt, based on its EBITDA, with ease. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Hugo Boss is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Hugo Boss , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.