Stock Analysis

Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of Bilfinger SE (ETR:GBF) After Its Second-Quarter Report

XTRA:GBF
Source: Shutterstock

Investors in Bilfinger SE (ETR:GBF) had a good week, as its shares rose 5.1% to close at €49.65 following the release of its quarterly results. It was a credible result overall, with revenues of €1.3b and statutory earnings per share of €1.28 both in line with analyst estimates, showing that Bilfinger is executing in line with expectations. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

View our latest analysis for Bilfinger

earnings-and-revenue-growth
XTRA:GBF Earnings and Revenue Growth August 16th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Bilfinger from four analysts is for revenues of €5.04b in 2024. If met, it would imply a modest 7.2% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to tumble 24% to €4.30 in the same period. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of €5.04b and earnings per share (EPS) of €4.19 in 2024. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.

The consensus price target was unchanged at €59.75, implying that the improved earnings outlook is not expected to have a long term impact on value creation for shareholders. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Bilfinger analyst has a price target of €61.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at €59.00. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or thatthe analysts have a strong view on its prospects.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting Bilfinger's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 15% annualised growth to the end of 2024 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 2.8% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 5.2% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Bilfinger to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Bilfinger's earnings potential next year. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at €59.75, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Bilfinger analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Plus, you should also learn about the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Bilfinger .

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Bilfinger might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.