Stock Analysis

What Does Amadeus FiRe AG's (ETR:AAD) Share Price Indicate?

XTRA:AAD
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Amadeus FiRe AG (ETR:AAD), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the XTRA, rising to highs of €165 and falling to the lows of €135. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Amadeus FiRe's current trading price of €148 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Amadeus FiRe’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Check out our latest analysis for Amadeus FiRe

Is Amadeus FiRe still cheap?

According to my valuation model, Amadeus FiRe seems to be fairly priced at around 8.2% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Amadeus FiRe today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth €161.61, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Amadeus FiRe’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of Amadeus FiRe look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
XTRA:AAD Earnings and Revenue Growth July 20th 2021

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Amadeus FiRe's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 96%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in AAD’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on AAD, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that Amadeus FiRe has 3 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore them.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
*Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020


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About XTRA:AAD

Amadeus FiRe

Provides personnel and training services in Germany.

Established dividend payer and good value.

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