Stock Analysis

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Amadeus FiRe AG's (ETR:AAD) Earnings Yet

XTRA:AAD
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Amadeus FiRe AG's (ETR:AAD) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.4x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Germany, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 18x and even P/E's above 33x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Amadeus FiRe has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Amadeus FiRe

pe-multiple-vs-industry
XTRA:AAD Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 24th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Amadeus FiRe will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

Amadeus FiRe's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 2.8%. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 90% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 6.5% per annum during the coming three years according to the one analyst following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 12% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Amadeus FiRe's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Amadeus FiRe's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Amadeus FiRe that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.