Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That LEWAG Holding (FRA:KGR) Is Using Debt Extensively

DB:KGR
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that LEWAG Holding Aktiengesellschaft (FRA:KGR) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for LEWAG Holding

What Is LEWAG Holding's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2020, LEWAG Holding had €17.3m of debt, up from €9.77m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had €12.7m in cash, and so its net debt is €4.62m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
DB:KGR Debt to Equity History December 8th 2020

A Look At LEWAG Holding's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, LEWAG Holding had liabilities of €35.4m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €17.1m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had €12.7m in cash and €12.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €27.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

LEWAG Holding has a market capitalization of €54.2m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

LEWAG Holding has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.53. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 16.4 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. On the other hand, LEWAG Holding's EBIT dived 17%, over the last year. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is LEWAG Holding's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, LEWAG Holding's free cash flow amounted to 21% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

LEWAG Holding's EBIT growth rate and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its interest cover tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that LEWAG Holding is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Take risks, for example - LEWAG Holding has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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